In addition, today's market, if we take a step back, will cover the gap on Wednesday, and it will still be difficult to have an impact on this round of gains.The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.It shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.
There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.This round of market, if it belongs to the trend of one-day tour, will make up the gap at most tomorrow, and the market can stabilize at 3400 points in the near future, and will still hit 3500 points in the later period.
If today's rising market will bring the trend of stepping back to 3230 points for the later trend, then the high point of the market today and the high point of 3509 points in November are expected to form a double-top shape, which is the signal that the current round of rising at 3227 points is over.It shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.What does it mean to accelerate the decline in late trading?